\u003cdiv class=\"rich_media_content\"\u003e\u003c!--NO_AD_ERROR_2--\u003e\u003cp data-source=\"cke\"\u003e黎巴嫩方面当地时�日表示，伊朗已向斡旋方提出一项分三阶段推进的谈判框架，并表示如果美国接受这一方案，谈判即可恢复。伊朗提出分三阶段推进的谈判框架与之前是否有所不同？释放了哪些信号？\u003c!--NO_AD_0--\u003e\u003c!--EOP_0--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c!--PARAGRAPH_0--\u003e\n\u003cdiv class=\"cms-cke-widget-title-normal-3 cms-cke-widget-title-tpl cms-cke-widget-title-wrapper cms-cke-widget-tpl\" data-key=\"title-normal-3\" data-reactroot=\"\" style=\"align-items: center; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; font-size: 19px; font-weight: bold; justify-content: flex-start; margin-bottom: 26px; margin-top: 28px; width: 100%\"\u003e\n\u003cdiv class=\"cms-cke-widget-title-container\" style=\"display: inline-block; position: relative; z-index: 9\"\u003e\n\u003csection class=\"icon\" style=\"background-image: url(https://inews.gtimg.com/om_bt/OX7Z_nbbTaKtViCWODDbOU1wckRuvY_TA8hQbw9qZcZmIAA/0); background-position: center; background-repeat: no-repeat; background-size: cover; display: inline-block; height: 48px; left: 0px; margin-right: 4px; position: absolute; top: -5px; width: 48px\" data-no-dark=\"true\"\u003e \u003c/section\u003e\n\u003cdiv class=\"cms-cke-widget-title-wrap title-normal-3-text\" style=\"color: #0d141e; display: inline-block; line-height: 26px; min-width: 4px; padding: 1px 12px 1px 21px; position: relative; text-align: left; top: 9px; word-break: break-all\"\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e伊方将停战与安全保障置于绝对首要位置\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003c!--VIDEO_0--\u003e\u003cspan style=\"text-align: center;font-size: 13px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136); line-height: 14px;margin-bottom: 22px;margin-top: 8px; display: block;\"\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\n\u003cp data-source=\"cke\"\u003e\u003cstrong data-source=\"cke\"\u003e中国国际问题研究院助理研究员 李子昕：\u003c/strong\u003e伊朗此次提出的\u003c!--VERTICAL_CARD_BEGIN_0--\u003e三阶段谈判框架\u003c!--VERTICAL_CARD_END_0--\u003e，与以往将核问题或解除制裁作为核心优先选项的立场相比，有了显著调整。其核心变化在于，将停战与安全保障置于绝对首要位置。在此框架下，\u003c!--VERTICAL_CARD_BEGIN_1--\u003e霍尔木兹海峡\u003c!--VERTICAL_CARD_END_1--\u003e的控制权成为讨论其他问题的基础，而关于核问题的技术性讨论则被置于最后。这并非简单的议题排序变动，而是反映出伊朗对当前谈判性质的独特看法。目前的谈判，是有关结束战争、追究侵略方责任以及获得军事补偿的机会，并非和平时期美伊之间就核问题开展的技术性磋商。\u003c!--NO_AD_1--\u003e\u003c!--EOP_1--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c!--PARAGRAPH_1--\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003c!--IMG_0--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp data-source=\"cke\"\u003e\u003cstrong data-source=\"cke\"\u003e中国国际问题研究院助理研究员 李子昕：\u003c/strong\u003e谈判框架的第一阶段聚焦于彻底结束战争，并获取防止战争重新爆发的保证。这一举措直接回应了当前伊朗面临的最急迫军事威胁，旨在为后续谈判奠定最基本的停火与安全环境，这也是任何进一步谈判的前提条件。第二阶段则聚焦于霍尔木兹海峡的管理问题。这表明伊朗在确保自身生存安全之后，迅速将目光转向恢复经济命脉和战略杠杆。海峡的通行权以及潜在的收费机制，将成为伊朗战后重建的关键收入来源和地缘政治筹码。只有满足了这两个条件，伊朗才愿意与美国就核问题进行谈判。伊朗借此力争在更有利的地位上就核计划展开博弈。\u003c!--NO_AD_2--\u003e\u003c!--EOP_2--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c!--PARAGRAPH_2--\u003e\n\u003cdiv class=\"cms-cke-widget-title-normal-3 cms-cke-widget-title-tpl cms-cke-widget-title-wrapper cms-cke-widget-tpl\" data-key=\"title-normal-3\" data-reactroot=\"\" style=\"align-items: center; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; font-size: 19px; font-weight: bold; justify-content: flex-start; margin-bottom: 26px; margin-top: 28px; width: 100%\"\u003e\n\u003cdiv class=\"cms-cke-widget-title-container\" style=\"display: inline-block; position: relative; z-index: 9\"\u003e\n\u003csection class=\"icon\" style=\"background-image: url(https://inews.gtimg.com/om_bt/OX7Z_nbbTaKtViCWODDbOU1wckRuvY_TA8hQbw9qZcZmIAA/0); background-position: center; background-repeat: no-repeat; background-size: cover; display: inline-block; height: 48px; left: 0px; margin-right: 4px; position: absolute; top: -5px; width: 48px\" data-no-dark=\"true\"\u003e \u003c/section\u003e\n\u003cdiv class=\"cms-cke-widget-title-wrap title-normal-3-text\" style=\"color: #0d141e; display: inline-block; line-height: 26px; min-width: 4px; padding: 1px 12px 1px 21px; position: relative; text-align: left; top: 9px; word-break: break-all\"\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e伊朗借三阶段谈判框架释放多重信号\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003c!--IMG_1--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp data-source=\"cke\"\u003e\u003cstrong data-source=\"cke\"\u003e中国国际问题研究院助理研究员 李子昕：\u003c/strong\u003e这一谈判框架释放出了多重信号，\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cul data-source=\"cke\"\u003e\n\u003cli data-source=\"cke\"\u003e其一，安全优先，表明伊朗当前的核心诉求是停止战争、保障生存；\u003c/li\u003e\n\u003cli data-source=\"cke\"\u003e其二，明确了霍尔木兹海峡问题的核心地位，凸显其对伊朗在政治和经济层面的关键意义；\u003c/li\u003e\n\u003cli data-source=\"cke\"\u003e其三，验证美方谈判的诚意，设定门槛并提出明确路线图，显示伊朗愿意重新回归谈判桌，但同时也为恢复核谈判设置了较高的前置条件。\u003c/li\u003e\n\u003c!--NO_AD_3--\u003e\u003c!--EOP_3--\u003e\u003c!--NO_AD_4--\u003e\u003c!--EOP_4--\u003e\u003c/ul\u003e\u003c!--PARAGRAPH_4--\u003e\u003c!--PARAGRAPH_3--\u003e\n\u003cp data-source=\"cke\"\u003e伊朗力图通过这种方式，以空间换时间、以议题换安全，从而争取谈判的主动权。\u003c/p\u003e\n\n\n\u003cstyle\u003e.rich_media_content{--news-tabel-th-night-color: #444444;--news-font-day-color: #333;--news-font-night-color: #d9d9d9;--news-bottom-distance: 22px}.rich_media_content p:not([data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=image-box]){letter-spacing:.5px;line-height:30px;margin-bottom:var(--news-bottom-distance);word-wrap:break-word}.rich_media_content .qn-editor-copy p:not([data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=image-box]){letter-spacing:unset;line-height:unset;margin-bottom:unset;word-wrap:unset}.rich_media_content{color:var(--news-font-day-color);font-size:18px}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not([data-weui-theme=light]):not([dark-mode-disable=true]) .rich_media_content p:not([data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=image-box]){letter-spacing:.5px;line-height:30px;margin-bottom:var(--news-bottom-distance);word-wrap:break-word}body:not([data-weui-theme=light]):not([dark-mode-disable=true]) .rich_media_content .qn-editor-copy p:not([data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=image-box]):not(.qn-editor-copy){letter-spacing:unset;line-height:unset;margin-bottom:unset;word-wrap:unset}body:not([data-weui-theme=light]):not([dark-mode-disable=true]) .rich_media_content{color:var(--news-font-night-color)}}.data_color_scheme_dark .rich_media_content p:not([data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=image-box]){letter-spacing:.5px;line-height:30px;margin-bottom:var(--news-bottom-distance);word-wrap:break-word}.data_color_scheme_dark .rich_media_content .qn-editor-copy p:not([data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=image-box]){letter-spacing:unset;line-height:unset;margin-bottom:unset;word-wrap:unset}.data_color_scheme_dark .rich_media_content{color:var(--news-font-night-color)}.data_color_scheme_dark .rich_media_content{font-size:18px}.rich_media_content p[data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=image-box]{margin-bottom:11px}.rich_media_content\u003ediv:not(.qnt-video),.rich_media_content\u003esection{margin-bottom:var(--news-bottom-distance)}.rich_media_content hr{margin-bottom:var(--news-bottom-distance)}.rich_media_content .link_list{margin:0;margin-top:20px;min-height:0!important}.rich_media_content blockquote{background:#f9f9f9;border-left:6px solid #ccc;margin:1.5em 10px;padding:.5em 10px}.rich_media_content blockquote p{margin-bottom:0!important}.data_color_scheme_dark .rich_media_content blockquote{background:#323232}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not([data-weui-theme=light]):not([dark-mode-disable=true]) .rich_media_content blockquote{background:#323232}}.rich_media_content ol[data-ex-list]{--ol-start: 1;--ol-list-style-type: decimal;list-style-type:none;counter-reset:olCounter calc(var(--ol-start,1) - 1);position:relative}.rich_media_content ol[data-ex-list]\u003eli\u003e:first-child::before{content:counter(olCounter,var(--ol-list-style-type)) '. ';counter-increment:olCounter;font-variant-numeric:tabular-nums;display:inline-block}.rich_media_content ul[data-ex-list]{--ul-list-style-type: circle;list-style-type:none;position:relative}.rich_media_content ul[data-ex-list].nonUnicode-list-style-type\u003eli\u003e:first-child::before{content:var(--ul-list-style-type) ' ';font-variant-numeric:tabular-nums;display:inline-block;transform:scale(0.5)}.rich_media_content ul[data-ex-list].unicode-list-style-type\u003eli\u003e:first-child::before{content:var(--ul-list-style-type) ' ';font-variant-numeric:tabular-nums;display:inline-block;transform:scale(0.8)}.rich_media_content ol:not([data-ex-list]){padding-left:revert}.rich_media_content ul:not([data-ex-list]){padding-left:revert}.rich_media_content table{display:table;border-collapse:collapse;margin-bottom:var(--news-bottom-distance)}.rich_media_content table th,.rich_media_content table td{word-wrap:break-word;border:1px solid #ddd;white-space:nowrap;padding:2px 5px}.rich_media_content table th{font-weight:700;background-color:#f0f0f0;text-align:left}.rich_media_content table p{margin-bottom:0!important}.data_color_scheme_dark .rich_media_content table th{background:var(--news-tabel-th-night-color)}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not([data-weui-theme=light]):not([dark-mode-disable=true]) .rich_media_content table th{background:var(--news-tabel-th-night-color)}}.rich_media_content .qqnews_image_desc,.rich_media_content p[type=om-image-desc]{line-height:20px!important;text-align:center!important;font-size:14px!important;color:#666!important}.rich_media_content div[data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=wrap]:not([data-exeditor-arbitrary-box-special-style]){max-width:100%}.rich_media_content .qqnews-content{--wmfont: 0;--wmcolor: transparent;font-size:var(--wmfont);color:var(--wmcolor);line-height:var(--wmfont)!important;margin-bottom:var(--wmfont)!important}.rich_media_content .qqnews_sign_emphasis{background:#f7f7f7}.rich_media_content .qqnews_sign_emphasis ol{word-wrap:break-word;border:none;color:#5c5c5c;line-height:28px;list-style:none;margin:14px 0 6px;padding:16px 15px 4px}.rich_media_content .qqnews_sign_emphasis p{margin-bottom:12px!important}.rich_media_content .qqnews_sign_emphasis ol\u003eli\u003ep{padding-left:30px}.rich_media_content .qqnews_sign_emphasis ol\u003eli{list-style:none}.rich_media_content .qqnews_sign_emphasis ol\u003eli\u003ep:first-child::before{margin-left:-30px;content:counter(olCounter,decimal) ''!important;counter-increment:olCounter!important;font-variant-numeric:tabular-nums!important;background:#37f;border-radius:2px;color:#fff;font-size:15px;font-style:normal;text-align:center;line-height:18px;width:18px;height:18px;margin-right:12px;position:relative;top:-1px}.data_color_scheme_dark .rich_media_content .qqnews_sign_emphasis{background:#262626}.data_color_scheme_dark .rich_media_content .qqnews_sign_emphasis ol\u003eli\u003ep{color:#a9a9a9}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not([data-weui-theme=light]):not([dark-mode-disable=true]) .rich_media_content .qqnews_sign_emphasis{background:#262626}body:not([data-weui-theme=light]):not([dark-mode-disable=true]) .rich_media_content .qqnews_sign_emphasis ol\u003eli\u003ep{color:#a9a9a9}}.rich_media_content h1,.rich_media_content h2,.rich_media_content h3,.rich_media_content h4,.rich_media_content h5,.rich_media_content h6{margin-bottom:var(--news-bottom-distance);font-weight:700}.rich_media_content h1{font-size:20px}.rich_media_content h2,.rich_media_content h3{font-size:19px}.rich_media_content h4,.rich_media_content h5,.rich_media_content h6{font-size:18px}.rich_media_content li:empty{display:none}.rich_media_content ul,.rich_media_content ol{margin-bottom:var(--news-bottom-distance)}.rich_media_content div\u003ep:only-child{margin-bottom:0!important}.rich_media_content .cms-cke-widget-title-wrap p{margin-bottom:0!important}\u003c/style\u003e\u003c/div\u003e